AAMI Derby Day 2013 Betting Tips

Polanski AAMI Derby Day 2013

Polanski AAMI Derby Day 2013

With Savvy Nature ($4.80) unseating Complacent ($6.00) as the favourite for the Victoria AAMI Derby Day this weekend following Wednesday’s barrier draw, there seems to have been a shift into a higher gear in preparation for the race. One of four Group 1 races on Derby Day, the feature race has drawn a capacity field of 16 starters, as well as two emergencies, both of which have been drawn near the fence, meaning the wide berths drawn for some of the leading favourites, including Savvy Nature and Complacent, could not be as big a problem as it may have first appeared, should the emergencies not get a run this Saturday.

The two youngsters have been attracting a lot of the attention in the lead up to the race, and justifiably so, as they have been in great form. The John Snowden-trained Complacent will be looking for his fourth win in succession on Saturday and will be ridden by Kerrin McEvoy.

However, these two horses are far form the only shots at the title. Complacent may be getting some stern competition from inside his own stable, as Peter Snowden has two more horses in the running, San Diego ($7.00) and Tupac Amaru ($16.00). Tupac Amaru was last seen in the Listed Geelong Classic last week, where he finished second. San Diego, on the other hand, has not had as steady a build up to the race as his stable mates, finishing sixth in the Group 2 Stutt Stakes last month, after which he improved with a second, behind Polanski, in the Norman Robinson Stakes earlier this month.

Indeed, Robbie Laing’s Polanski ($6.50) is certainly one to look out for. The colt will be looking to seal his third win on the trot, scoring the Super Impose win at Flemington before that Norman Robinson Stakes win. Criterion ($10.00) will be boosted by having Craig Williams on board, but will have to improve on the performance that saw him run second behind Complacent in the Spring Champion, as well as in the Stan Fox, where he missed out to Eurozone.

The day will also feature the Mackinnon Stakes and the Lexus Stakes, which, aside from being valued races in their own right, will be seen by several trainers as preparation, and for some as the last chance to qualify, for the Melbourne Cup next week. Of the Mackinnon field, David Hayes’ Jet Away, Mr Moet and Moriarty are borderline entries into the Cup, and will be keen on securing victories to seal their place in the race.

The Lexus Stakes looks to be even more hotly contested, as there are 14 Cup hopefuls, 13 of which are yet to secure a start in the race, who will be fighting it out for the winning post. Each of Kelinni, Julienas, My Quest For Peace, Moudre, Araldo, Ironstein, Bass Strait, Kingdoms, Let’s Make A Deal, Vaquera, Motivado, Garud and Ruscello need a win to gain access to the Melbourne Cup.

Derek Peterson - Melbourne Cup Pundit and top racing tipster. Having picked the last four Melbourne Cup winners on the trot you'd expect Derek to be experienced enough to give racesau.com a tip or two across the Melbourne Cup and the Spring Racing Carnival during this racing season.


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